Week 2 Final

What a weekend! I went 7-3 again in my personal picks to bring my season total to 14-6. The betting algorithm went a jaw dropping 55-16. No, that is not a typo. It's 95-33 over the first two weeks. (74%)

The goal of the betting algorithm is to win 55% of games long term while still betting on 30+ games a week rather than my usual 8 to 10. If I can do this, I will be able to wager a much higher proportion of my bank roll every week without compromising risk. I can do a kelly optimal (with clusters, now lol) financial model and can slowly increase bet size as the season goes on, earning a compounded return.

Basically, if I can win 55%, I am going to ship a lot of moneys... right now I'm winning 74%, and I am obviously on a ridiculously positive variance run, and there's absolutely no way in hell I can maintain 60%+ long term, but I feel good about getting into the high 50's. (for example, I'm 7-2 in my 4+ unit bets)

Go Bears,

Galen

Results are as follows:

(PERSONAL PICKS)

WIN Vanderbilt +10 vs South Carolina (Thurs)

LOSS Cincinnati +21 @ Oklahoma

WIN Temple +7 vs Uconn

LOSS Oregon State +16.5 @ Penn State

WIN Southern Miss +17.5 @ Auburn

WIN ASU -14 vs Stanford

LOSS West Virginia -7.5 @ ECU

WIN Georgia Tech +7 @ Boston College (game of the week!)
WIN UL Monroe +13 @ Auburn

WIN Wisconsin -20.5 vs Marshall